Tim Harford Knihy

Kedy ste si naposledy prečítali ohromujúce číslo a pochybovali o jeho pravdivosti? Štatistiky sú všadeprítomné – v médiách, na sociálnych sieťach aj v bežných rozhovoroch. Pomáhajú nám rozprávať príbehy a chápať svet, no dnes ich často spochybňujeme. V správnych rukách môžu čísla zmeniť svet k lepšiemu; dobrá štatistika je nástroj, ktorý odhaľuje to, čo by inak zostalo neviditeľné. Autor, ekonóm a moderátor relácie na BBC, nás prevádza svetom dezinformácií a zlých výskumov, aby sme objavili krásu dát, ktoré skutočne pomáhajú. Zoznámi nás s fascinujúcimi postavami, ako sú falšovateľ umenia a striptérka, ktorá zbalila mocného kongresmana, a známych dátových detektívov ako Keynes, Kahneman či Nightingale. Odporúča nám prístupovať k dennodenným tvrdeniam so zvedavosťou a skepticizmom. Pomocou desiatich jednoduchých pravidiel na lepšie porozumenie číslam a jedného zlatého pravidla nás táto podnetná kniha učí, ako si všímať pôvod a prezentáciu čísel a vidieť, ako sa sčítavajú do celkového obrazu o našom svete.

Tim Harford má daleko do nudného učitele moderní ekonomie, protože mu jde hlavně o praxi. Uvědomuje si totiž, že jeho obor není jen suchopárná věda, ale pojednává také o tom, jaké ekonomické problémy v každodenním životě řešíme a jak by se lidem i jejich financím mohlo vést lépe - což jim většina odborníků bohužel dosud nedokázala názorně vysvětlit. Aby předvedl, že je to proveditelné, poodkrývá čtenářům prostřednictvím desítek příkladů triky prodejců, odhaluje jim nejen mnohá úskalí nakupování, velkoměstské dopravy, ale i systémů zdravotní péče, ochrany životního prostředí či fungování akciových trhů a mezinárodního obchodu. Současně poukazuje na překážky stojící v cestě konkurenčnímu prostředí volných trhů, jež projevují přirozenou schopnost učinit náš svět lepším místem k životu. Pro jednu z nejžádanějších britských knih dneška je charakteristický jízlivý náhled na nejrůznější obchodní praktiky a zádrhely i nechuť vůči zažitým nepravdám a klišé. Autor v ní však neopomíjí ani starost o budoucnost obyvatel třetího světa, kterou nelze v podmínkách sílící globalizace ztrácet ze zřetele. Harfordův pronikavý výklad, připomínající podle recenzentů "náhled na všední den, viděný očima pronikavýma jako rentgen", zároveň vyzáří množství ostrovního humoru, neboť postupuje v duchu nejlepších popularizátorských tradic, jimž nic lidského není cizí.

Everything we know about solving the world's problems is wrong. Out: Plans, experts and above all, leaders. In: Adapting - improvise rather than plan; fail, learn, and try again In this groundbreaking new book, Tim Harford shows how the world's most complex and important problems - including terrorism, climate change, poverty, innovation, and the financial crisis - can only be solved from the bottom up by rapid experimenting and adapting. From a spaceport in the Mojave Desert to the street battles of Iraq, from a blazing offshore drilling rig to everyday decisions in our business and personal lives, this is a handbook for surviving - and prospering - in our complex and ever-shifting world.

From the author of 'The Undercover Economist, ' this book applies the economics of rational choice theory to modern life. Harford explains, for example, why drug addicts and teenage muggers can be rational, why suburban sprawl and inner city decay are rational, and why the endless meetings and injustices of working life are rational

Using his trademark narrative skills, Tim Harford takes us deep into the world of statistics and shows how important and powerful they can be

In Fifty Things that Made the Modern Economy, the revolutionary, acclaimed book, radio series and podcast, bestselling economist Tim Harford introduced us to a selection of fifty radical inventions that changed the world. Now, in this new book, Harford once again brings us an array of remarkable, memorable, curious and often unexpected 'things' - inventions that teach us lessons by turns intimate and sweeping about the complex world economy we live in today. From the brick, blockchain and the bicycle to fire, the factory and fundraising, and from solar PV and the pencil to the postage stamp, this brilliant and enlightening collection resonates, fascinates and stimulates. It is a wonderful blend of insight and inspiration from one of Britain's finest non-fiction storytellers.

Exploring the themes of truth and perception, this book encourages readers to challenge their understanding of the world. It offers insights that promote smarter living and a fresh perspective on everyday experiences. Through its engaging narrative, readers are invited to uncover deeper truths that can transform their outlook and enhance their lives.

From the tally-stick to Bitcoin, the canal lock to the jumbo jet, each invention in Tim Harford's fascinating new book has its own curious, surprising and memorable story, a vignette against a grand backdrop. Step by step, readers will start to understand where we are, how we got here, and where we might be going next. Hidden connections will be laid bare: how the barcode undermined family corner shops; why the gramophone widened inequality; how barbed wire shaped America. We'll meet the characters who developed some of these inventions, profited from them, or were ruined by them. We'll trace the economic principles that help to explain their transformative effects. And we'll ask what lessons we can learn to make wise use of future inventions, in a world where the pace of innovation will only accelerate

From “one of the great (greatest?) contemporary popular writers on economics” (Tyler Cowen) comes a smart, lively, and encouraging rethinking of how to use statistics .Today we think statistics are the enemy, numbers used to mislead and confuse us. That’s a mistake, Tim Harford says in The Data Detective . We shouldn’t be suspicious of statistics—we need to understand what they mean and how they can improve our they are, at heart, human behavior seen through the prism of numbers and are often “the only way of grasping much of what is going on around us.” If we can toss aside our fears and learn to approach them clearly—understanding how our own preconceptions lead us astray—statistics can point to ways we can live better and work smarter.As “perhaps the best popular economics writer in the world” ( New Statesman ), Tim Harford is an expert at taking complicated ideas and untangling them for millions of readers. In The Data Detective , he uses new research in science and psychology to set out ten strategies for using statistics to erase our biases and replace them with new ideas that use virtues like patience, curiosity, and good sense to better understand ourselves and the world. As a result, The Data Detective is a big-idea book about statistics and human behavior that is fresh, unexpected, and insightful.

A million readers bought The Undercover Economist to get the lowdown on how economics works on a small scale, in our everyday lives. Since then, economics has become big news. Crises, austerity, riots, bonuses - all are in the headlines all the time. But how does this large-scale economic world really work? What would happen if we cancelled everyone's debt? How do you create a job? Will the BRIC countries take over the world? Asking - among many other things -- what the future holds for the Euro, why the banks are still paying record bonuses and where government borrowing will take us, in The Undercover Economist Strikes Back, Tim Harford returns with his trademark clarity and wit to explain what's really going on - and what it means for us all.