Niall Ferguson Poradie kníh (chronologicky)

Katastrofy jsou ze své podstaty těžko předvídatelné. Neexistuje žádný historický cyklus, který by nám pomohl předvídat příští pandemie, zemětřesení, požáry, finanční krize nebo války. Když však katastrofa udeří, měli bychom být připraveni lépe než Římané, když vybuchl Vesuv,nebo středověcí Italové, když udeřila černá smrt. Koneckonců máme na své straně vědu. Přesto byla v roce 2020 reakce mnoha vyspělých zemí na nový virus z Číny špatně zvládnutá. Proč? Proč se jen několik asijských zemí poučilo ze SARS a MERS? Autor tvrdí, že pandemie odhalila hlubší patologie – patologie, které byly patrné již v našich reakcích na dřívější katastrofy. Kniha čerpá z mnoha oborů, včetně ekonomie, kliodynamiky a vědy o sítích, a nabízí nejen historii, ale i obecnou teorii katastrof a ukazuje, proč se naše stále byrokratičtější a složitější systémy s nimi vyrovnávají čím dál hůře.

THE FOLLOW UP TO THE INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER THE AGE OF AI In his final book, the late Henry Kissinger joins forces with two leading technologists to mount a profound exploration of the epochal challenges and opportunities presented by the revolution in Artificial Intelligence. As it absorbs data, gains agency, and intermediates between humans and reality, AI (Artificial Intelligence) will help us to address enormous crises, from climate change to geopolitical conflicts to income inequality. It might well solve some of the greatest mysteries of our universe and elevate the human spirit to unimaginable heights. But it will also pose challenges on a scale and of an intensity that we have never seen - usurping our power of independent judgment and action, testing our relationship with the divine, and perhaps even spurring a new phase in human evolution. The last book of elder statesman Henry Kissinger, written with technologists Craig Mundie and Eric Schmidt, Genesis charts a course between blind faith and unjustified fear as it outlines an effective strategy for navigating the age of AI.

Disasters are inherently unpredictable, and pandemics, like earthquakes and financial crises, do not follow historical patterns that could help us anticipate them. When disaster strikes, we should be better prepared than past societies, armed with scientific knowledge. However, many developed countries mishandled their responses to a new pathogen from China. While poor leadership, particularly among populist rulers, is often blamed, the COVID-19 crisis revealed deeper issues within the administrative state and economic elites, who had become shortsighted over time. The questions arise: why were warnings from experts ignored for so long, and why did only some nations learn from past outbreaks like SARS and MERS? The reliance on 'the science' often proved to be misguided. Drawing from history, economics, and network science, this work serves as a global analysis of the pandemic year. Niall Ferguson examines the underlying pathologies that have plagued societies, from imperial arrogance to bureaucratic inefficiency and online divisions. The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted a critical failure for many countries, emphasizing the need to learn from history to prevent a decline that could become irreversible.

Seit dem Ende des Zweiten Weltkriegs prägte eine zunehmend freiheitliche Weltordnung das politische Geschehen und ermöglichte eine Ära wachsenden globalen Wohlstands und abnehmender internationaler Konflikte. Zum ersten Mal seit dieser letzten Kriegsgeneration erschüttert uns eine neue globale Realität, die nicht mehr durch feste Grenzen, klare nationale Interessen und gesicherte Handelspolitik definiert ist. Der renommierte Geschichtsprofessor Niall Ferguson und der einflussreiche Politikberater Fareed Zakaria loten aus, wer die eigentlichen Nutznießer der Globalisierung sind und zeichnen zwei grundverschiedene Szenarien – eine aufschlussreiche und zukunftsweisende Debatte.

Be it resolved, the liberal international order is over... Since the end of World War II, global affairs have been shaped by three broad trends: the increasing free movement of people and goods, international rules setting, and a broad appreciation of the mutual benefits of a more interconnected, interdependent world. Together these factors defined the liberal international order and sustained an era of rising global prosperity and declining international conflict. But is this order now being supplanted by a new global reality; one defined by the assertion of national borders, national interests and protectionist trade polices? More fundamentally, is liberal internationalism a historical aberration; the product of a unique set of forces that are now in retreat? Or, can it survive these challenges and remain the defining rules-based system of the future? The twentieth semi-annual Munk Debate, held on April 28th, 2017, pits prominent historian Niall Ferguson against CNN's Fareed Zakaria to debate the future of liberal internationalism.

Throughout history our societies have worked through networks - of information, friendship, professions, families - Ferguson's new book is a history of this aspect of human existence, from the networks that first allowed us to explore the oceans to today's hyper-linked world. He celebrates the myriad ways in which the battle between rival networks makes history happen.

No American statesman has been as revered and as reviled as Henry Kissinger. Hailed by some as the 'indispensable man', whose advice has been sought by every president from Kennedy to Obama, Kissinger has also attracted immense hostility from critics who have cast him as an amoral Machiavellian - the ultimate cold-blooded 'realist'. Niall Ferguson has created an extraordinary panorama of Kissinger's world, and a paradigm-shifting reappraisal of the man. Only through knowledge of Kissinger's early life can we understand his debt to the philosophy of idealism. And only by tracing his rise, fall and revival as an adviser to John F. Kennedy, Nelson Rockefeller and, finally, Richard Nixon can we appreciate the magnitude of his contribution to the theory of diplomacy, grand strategy and nuclear deterrence

In the sweep of human history, the European Union stands out as one of humankind's most ambitious endeavors. It encompasses half a billion people, twenty-seven member states, twenty-three languages, and an economy valued at over $15 trillion. Modern Europe's stunning achievements aside, its sovereign debt crisis has shaken the world's largest political and economic union to its core. Can the federal institutions and shared values of Europeans meet the challenges of debt crisis that are as much political as economic? Or, are Europe's current woes indicative of a series of deep structural faults that will doom the European Union to breakup and failure? In this edition of the Munk Debates — Canada's premier international debate series — former EU commissioner Lord Peter Mandelson, French-German EU parliament leader of the Greens, Daniel Cohn-Bendit, German Euro skeptic and bestselling author Josef Joffe, and Scottish historian, Niall Ferguson debate one of the most pressing issues of our day: has the great European experiment failed? This electrifying debate featuring some of Europe's most outspoken parliamentary figures and academics is guaranteed to be an unforgettable and riveting verbal sparring match on the question that will determine the future of world's economy.

Známy britský historik Niall Ferguson sa v tejto knihe zamýšľa nad tým, čo spôsobilo, že počas posledných šiestich storočí západná civilizácia nadobudla prevahu nad zvyškom sveta. Ako je možné, že civilizácia, ktorá tak zaostávala za vyspelými východnými kultúrami, dokázala vyvinúť prostriedky, ktoré ju napokon dostali do pozície jedinečného vzoru? Na pozadí stretu civilizácií autor zároveň vtipne a s nadhľadom mapuje svetové dejiny. Aj napriek tomu však konštatuje, že dni dominancie Západu sú zrátané. Zvyšok sveta totiž Západ dobieha a ten postupne stráca vieru vo vlastné hodnoty. Prvé vydanie.

From the bestselling author of The Ascent of Money and The Square and the Tower "Prodigiously researched but also splendidly written-clear and vivid and precise." --The Wall Street Journal Drawing on more than ten thousand hitherto unavailable letters and diary entries, bestselling author Niall Ferguson tells the story of Siegmund Warburg, a complex man who was as much a psychologist, a politician, and an actor-manager as a banker. An obsessive perfectionist with an aversion to excessive risk, Warburg-and the S. G. Warburg firm-adopted a financial philosophy that was the antithesis of the debt-fueled, algorithm-driven banking of our time. In High Financier, Niall Ferguson recaptures the meticulous business methods and strict ethical code that set Warburg apart from the mere speculators and traders who inhabit today's financial world.

podtitul: Finančné dejiny sveta Bubáky, fuky, love, prachy, šupy. Nazývajte si ich, ako chcete, dnes na nich záleží viac ako kedykoľvek predtým. Vo Vzostupe peňazí známy britský historik Niall Ferguson ukazuje, že za celou históriou treba vidieť dejiny financií. Od bankárskej dynastie, ktorá financovala taliansku renesanciu, až po bublinu na akciovom trhu, ktorá zapríčinila Francúzsku revolúciu, je to rozprávanie o konjunktúrach a krachoch, o akých sa predtým nehovorilo. Nikdy nebol vhodnejší čas pochopiť vzostup a pád peňazí, ako vo chvíli, keď sa svet zmieta v najväčšej finančnej kríze od Veľkej hospodárskej krízy. Prvé vydanie

Astonishing in its scope and erudition, this is the magnum opus that Niall Ferguson's numerous acclaimed works have been leading up to. In it, he grapples with perhaps the most challenging questions of modern history: Why was the twentieth century history's bloodiest by far? Why did unprecedented material progress go hand in hand with total war and genocide? His quest for new answers takes him from the walls of Nanjing to the bloody beaches of Normandy, from the economics of ethnic cleansing to the politics of imperial decline and fall. The result, as brilliantly written as it is vital, is a great historian's masterwork.

One of Penguin's bestselling non-fiction authors, Niall Ferguson has been hailed as the most brilliant historian of his generation for his fresh, provocative and controversial approach to subjects ranging from money to empires. This extract has been specially selected and adapted from Ferguson's bestselling The Pity of War (1998), a radical reassessment of the First World War that exploded many myths surrounding the conflict.

Is America an empire? The government insists it is not, despite military conquests and over 750 installations worldwide. George W. Bush claims, "America has never been an empire," while Defense Secretary Rumsfeld asserts, "We don’t seek empires." Niall Ferguson challenges this view in his analysis, arguing that the U.S. is indeed the most powerful empire in history, akin to the British Empire of a century ago. The U.S. aims to globalize free markets, the rule of law, and representative government. However, Ferguson points out that Americans often resist the long-term commitments of resources necessary for transforming rogue regimes and failed states. He describes this as an empire suffering from attention deficit disorder, imposing unrealistic timelines on its interventions. Moreover, Ferguson highlights a troubling denial of the scale of America's global responsibilities, warning that the repercussions will be felt both internationally and domestically. In a compelling conclusion, he cautions that this chronic short-sightedness extends to domestic issues as well, suggesting that when overstretch occurs, it will reveal vulnerabilities within the American colossus itself.

Pojednání přibližuje příčiny i samotný průběh 1. světové války a naznačuje její důsledky. Autor zpochybňuje tradiční výklad a vžité představy o válce. Tento globální válečný konflikt hodnotí autor především z hlediska britských mocenských zájmů a cílů. Hlavní podíl na vzniku 1.světové války měla, podle něj, Velká Británie, která podcenila německý potenciál. Z kontinentálního konfliktu se stala válka světová, neboť Velká Británie si počínala velice nekvalifikovaně, což si vyžádalo zásah Spojených států amerických. K válce tak došlo na základě chybných rozhodnutí vedoucích činitelů! Celý tento válečný konflikt se zrodil z osobní pošetilosti, jež měla katastrofální následky!

Niall Ferguson recreates the excitement, brutality and adventure of the British Empire, showing on a vast canvas how the British Empire in the 19th century spearheaded real globalization with steampower, telegraphs, guns, engineers, missionaries and millions of settlers.

The decline of the West is something that has long been prophesied. Symptoms of decline are all around us: slowing growth, crushing debts, aging populations, anti-social behaviour. But what is the cause? The answer, Niall Ferguson argues, is that our institutions - the intricate frameworks within which a society can flourish or fail - are degenerating. Representative government, the free market, the rule of law and civil society: these were the four pillars of Western societies, which set them on the path to global dominance after around 1500. In our time, however, these institutions have deteriorated. Our democracies have broken the contract between the generations by heaping IOUs on our children and grandchildren. Our markets are distorted by over-complex regulations. The rule of law has metamorphosed into the rule of lawyers. And civil society has become uncivil society. While the Arab world struggles to adopt democracy, and while China struggles to move from economic liberalization to the rule of law, Europeans and Americans alike are frittering away the institutional inheritance of centuries. To arrest the degeneration of the West, Ferguson warns, will take heroic leadership and radical reform. This book is based on Niall Ferguson's BBC Radio 4 Reith Lectures, which were broadcast under the title 'The Rule of Law and Its Enemies'.

Niall Ferguson hat als erster Historiker die verschlüsselte Privatkorrespondenz der Rothschilds im 19. Jahrhundert ausgewertet. Er erweckt ihre Welt mit meisterhafter Geschichtsschreibung zum Leben, einschließlich ihrer Visionen, Pläne, Freundschaften, Feindschaften und Erfolge.

Die erste große historisch-politische Gesamtdeutung nach der Epochenzäsur 1989 beschreibt die künftige Rollenverteilung von Politik und Wirtschaft in der Demokratie. Der freie Markt gilt vielfach als die einzige Möglichkeit, politische und soziale Spannungen abzubauen, Wohlstand für alle zu fördern und demokratische Stabilität zu erreichen. Regiert also tatsächlich das Geld die Welt? Analytisch und scharfsinnig packt Niall Ferguson nach seiner provokanten Studie über den Ersten Weltkrieg erneut ein heißes Eisen an. Vor dem Hintergrund der Geschichte der letzten beiden Jahrhunderte kommt er zu einem überraschenden und provozierenden Urteil: Weder garantiert eine blühende Wirtschaft ein konfliktfreies Zusammenleben noch waren ökonomische Faktoren wirklich entscheidend für den Gang der Ereignisse. Wichtiger denn je ist die Politik, die ihren Einfluss zurückerobern muss, um zukünftige Gefahren für die Demokratie abzuwehren.

The Mythology surrounding the Rothschilds' wealth and power is two centuries old. Now the historical reality, long buried in the bank's archives, is revealed for the first time by Oxford historian and bestselling author Niall Ferguson in this definitive account of a legendary banking dynasty's rise to power.

What if Britain had stayed out of the First World War? What if Germany had won the Second? Historians have traditionally refused to ask questions of the past, preferring to assume that whatever happened was inevitable. But Virtual History challenges this complacency as leading historians apply "counterfactual" arguments to decisive moments in modern history.

The First World War killed around eight million men and bled Europe dry. Was the sacrifice worth it? Was it all really an inevitable cataclysm and were the Germans a genuine threat? Was the war, as is often asserted, greeted with popular enthusiasm? Why did men keep on fighting when conditions were so wretched? This title deals with questions.